Local government led new investment boom announced 7 trillion plans to stimulate the economy

The local new round of investment is aimed at the characteristic industry. Recently, the local version of the industrial plan has been intensively introduced, involving a total investment of one trillion yuan. Market participants pointed out that a new wave of investment led by local governments is coming. According to incomplete statistics, the local investment plan announced since July involves an amount of about 7 trillion yuan.
Analysts believe that these plans propose to develop new economic growth points based on local factor endowment advantages by creating local characteristic industries. Investors can find new investment themes from local industry plans. The local development plan frequently appeared on August 20th. The Guangdong Province implemented the Guangdong Marine Economic Comprehensive Experimental Zone Development Planning Work Conference held in Guangzhou. On the same day, the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee and the Provincial Government issued the “Decision on Making Full Use of Marine Resources Advantages to Build a Strong Marine Economy Province” and five implementation plans (draft for comments), totaling 177 key construction projects with a total investment of over one trillion yuan. Also on August 20th, the Chongqing Municipal Government issued a three-year revitalization plan for major industries in the industrial sector. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the city’s industry will invest 1.5 trillion yuan in total, and build 7 billion-dollar industrial clusters and 30 billion. In the industrial clusters, the total industrial output value exceeded 3 trillion yuan. The seven industries include electronic information, automobiles, advanced equipment manufacturing, integrated chemicals, new materials, energy, and consumer manufacturing. According to media reports, Guizhou recently launched a 3 trillion yuan ecotourism investment plan. According to the plan, the 3 trillion yuan investment plan will be completed in the next ten years. Wang Fuyu, the leader of the Tourism Development and Reform Leading Group of Guizhou Province, said that the strategic positioning of the “National Park Province” proposed by the plan not only highlights the competitive advantage of Guizhou, but also highlights the results of the “Guizhou Eco-Cultural Tourism Industry Development Plan”. The characteristics of Guizhou have grasped the core of Guizhou tourism. On August 13, at the press conference held by the Heilongjiang Provincial Government Information Office, "Several Policy Measures to Promote Stable Growth of the Industrial Economy of the Province" was announced. The Measures aim to encourage enterprises to increase production, help enterprises to develop markets, ease corporate financial pressures, and reduce corporate burdens. In fact, frequent regional planning is not limited to the provincial level. In the context of steady growth, as early as July 16, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province issued the "Opinions of the Municipal Government on Promoting the Stable Growth of the Industrial Economy and Promoting Transformation", and 26 new policies related to tax reduction and expansion. Investment, restructuring, technological innovation, factor protection, and creating an atmosphere. On July 23, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province issued “Several Opinions of the Municipal Government on Further Expanding Domestic Demand to Drive Consumption”, and issued a series of policies to expand domestic demand and stimulate consumption, covering investment, real estate consumption, automobile consumption, tourism and leisure consumption, and culture. Sports entertainment consumption, education consumption, health consumption, exhibition consumption, holidays and new ways of consumption and green consumption 10 aspects. In some places, although there are no government documents, key investment projects have also been released. On July 26, Changsha City, Hunan Province announced that there were 195 major promotion projects in 2012 with a total investment of 829.2 billion yuan. On August 12, the Shanxi Provincial Investment Promotion Bureau held a press conference at the 4th Energy Expo. It is said that the signing amount of this year's energy fair is over one trillion yuan. To create a local characteristic industry, from the regional perspective of regional planning documents, in addition to provincial, municipal, and cross-regional planning. From the classification of planning content, there are industrial planning, comprehensive planning and so on. Among them, the capital market is most concerned about the new ideas concerning industrial development in planning. Under the background that the current economic growth is facing downward pressure and new economic growth points, the emerging industries with development prospects can often stimulate the sensitive nerves of investors. Comprehensive regional development plans (or opinions) have been intensively introduced since 2009. Although there are still some plans waiting to be released, they have basically spread all over the country. The areas that have been officially planned and designed include the Pearl River Delta, Haixi Economic Zone, Jiangsu Coastal Area, Hengqin New District, Guanzhong-Tianshui Economic Zone, Central Region, Yellow River Delta, Hainan International Tourism Island, Tianjin Binhai New Area, and Minjiang City Belt. The Yangtze River Delta region and so on. The reason why relevant regional planning has received high attention from the capital market is mainly because it has been placed in a more prominent and important position to clarify the strategic and spatial layout of regional economic development and the focus and direction of structural adjustment. Industry analysts pointed out that there are few hot spots in the current capital market, and the introduction of new comprehensive regional plans can still attract investors' attention. According to media reports, the preparation of the "Central Plains Economic Zone Plan" was initiated, and the "Guangxi Xijiang Economic Belt Development Master Plan" was officially approved. The "Panxi Strategic Resources Innovation and Development Pilot Area Construction Plan" was reported to the Development and Reform Commission, "Northeast China's Northeast Asia Regional Open Plan The Outline has been approved by the State Council. The preparation and research of the Ningxia Inland Open Economy Experimental Zone Plan is in full swing. The Nansha Development Plan will be submitted to the State Council for approval. In the new round of local version of industrial planning, the development of characteristic industries is particularly interesting. In August, the Wuxi National Sensor Network Innovation Demonstration Zone Development Plan (2012-2020) approved by the State Council clearly stated that by 2015, Wuxi Demonstration Zone has a number of core technologies of IoT with independent intellectual property rights. Internationally competitive industrial clusters; by 2020, agglomerate and cultivate a group of leading domestic Internet of Things enterprises, and become an internationally competitive industrial development cluster. The “Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan for Tropical Crop Industry in Hainan Province” approved by the Hainan Provincial Government in July also made a fuss about local characteristics. The “Planxi Strategic Resources Innovation and Development Pilot Area Construction Plan”, which has been reported to the National Development and Reform Commission, and the “Southern Jiangsu Modernization Demonstration Zone Planning”, which is being researched and compiled by the National Development and Reform Commission, is a high-end route. Focus on improving investment efficiency For the current local planning and investment plans, some analysts worry that a new round of investment competition is underway, which is not conducive to economic restructuring and can not really increase the potential growth rate of the economy. Another analyst believes that this round of investment is different from the previous round of 4 trillion investment, and the efficiency should be improved. Li Xunlei, chief economist of Haitong Securities, believes that from a regional perspective, investment in the central and western regions needs to be cautious. What needs attention now is not only the issue of economic aggregates, but also the quality of economic growth. For example, in the 4 trillion yuan investment plan issued in 2009, the funds for the fixed assets investment in the central and western regions came from the national budget, with the growth rate of funds being 60.2% and 89.2%, respectively, which were 13.8 and 42.8 percentage points higher than the eastern level respectively. It is because of this administrative fund allocation that its investment efficiency is much lower than that of the eastern region. By combing related plans, it can be seen that industries with severe surpluses such as steel and cement and poor profitability of enterprises have no interest. Even projects such as photovoltaics are rarely mentioned in relevant plans due to overcapacity. Local governments The practice tends to be pragmatic. However, in the context of the current economic growth, the bank's risk assessment of loans will be further enhanced, which means that some projects or industries with poor development prospects and poor earnings expectations are difficult to obtain loans. In addition, analysts believe that the implementation of many projects requires infrastructure first, the demand for infrastructure related industries such as steel and cement will be stimulated, and the decline in demand brought by real estate and de-duty industries will be compensated. Part of the regional planning and investment plan announced the time of provincial and municipal investment amount investment plan content in July Guangdong Province 235.3 billion yuan Guangdong major construction projects to open private bidding for private investment, the first batch of 44 projects, a total investment of 235.3 billion yuan, of which traffic and The investment in urban construction projects accounts for nearly 60%. The second batch of bidding projects will be announced before the end of August and a project promotion meeting will be held. In July, Changsha City had 829 million yuan of major projects in 2012, with a total investment of 829.2 billion yuan. Among them, major projects involve people's livelihood, comprehensive transportation system, urban facilities system, new urbanization layout, industrial development and other fields. In August, the city of Guangzhou in the second half of the year will focus on the construction of 101 key projects with an annual investment of 71.4 billion yuan and 120 projects listed in the top 500 modern industrial enterprises. The total investment of state-owned enterprises is more than 127 billion yuan. Construction of 76 continuous construction and new construction projects. In August, Guizhou Province’s 3 trillion yuan “Guizhou Eco-Cultural Tourism Industry Development Plan” proposed to invest 3 trillion yuan in the next 10 years. According to the 10-year investment forecast, the government needs to invest about 100 billion yuan for this plan every year, mainly for infrastructure construction such as transportation and hospitals. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period of Chongqing’s 1.5 trillion yuan in August, the city’s industry will invest 1.5 trillion yuan in total, build 7 billion-dollar industrial clusters and 30 billion-level industrial clusters, and the total industrial output value will exceed 3 trillion yuan. . In August, Guangdong Province’s 1 trillion yuan “Decision on Making Full Use of Marine Resources Advantages to Build a Strong Marine Economic Province” and five implementation plans (draft for comments), a total of 177 key construction projects were proposed, with a total investment of about 1 trillion yuan. . In August, Shanxi Provincial Investment Promotion Bureau of 1 trillion yuan in Shanxi Province said at the press conference of the 4th Energy Expo that there were thousands of contracted projects and the contracted amount exceeded RMB 1 trillion.

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